- Atlanta Falcons have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.
- Chicago Bears have lost their last three matches in a row.
- The total points score went over for Chicago Bears, in their last four games
The Atlanta Falcons (4-6) play the Chicago Bears (3-7) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on 20th November in round 11 of NFL. A tally of four wins from ten games leaves the Atlanta Falcons with a divisional ranking of second in the NFC South, while the Chicago Bears are fourth in the NFC North after collecting three victories out of a possible ten. Before getting stuck in a rut, the Atlanta Falcons should be highly motivated to claim a win before their defeats turn into a streak. Having lost two on the bounce, they’ll be looking turn things around against the Chicago Bears.
Atlanta Falcons Form
The Atlanta Falcons fell to back-to-back defeats last week when the Carolina Panthers beat them 25-15. The hosts are now 4-6 in their past 10 games overall and 3-2 in the last five at home.
In terms of points added, it’s fair to say the Atlanta Falcons have a strong and consistent offense. The unit has put 22.8 points on board in the last five matches after all, while averaging 23.2 points for this season. The art of defending isn’t something the Atlanta Falcons excel in though. By allowing 25.0 points per game, their defense has been below average compared to the rest of the league this year.
Unsurprisingly, the Atlanta Falcons are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the home side to go far, and given their 4-6 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.
Chicago Bears Form
The Chicago Bears are in bad shape with a run of six losses in seven games lately. Their most recent game handed them a 31-30 loss against the Detroit Lions.
The Chicago Bears’ offensive unit has taken things up a notch in terms of points scored. From a regular season average of 21.7 points, the offense has put up 26.2 points on board in the last five matches alone. A below-average defense isn’t what any traveling team wants to hear, but that’s how it is for the Chicago Bears. The visitors have allowed a nerve-wracking 24.7 points per game this year.
In 2021, the Chicago Bears came home in third place in the NFC North standings after going 6-11 across all games. The visitors naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoffs during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.
Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears H2H
The Chicago Bears downed the Atlanta Falcons 26-30 in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in September 2020. The Atlanta Falcons came away with two wins from their past five matchups against the Chicago Bears, leaving them with an overall record of 2-3.
In their past eight head-to-head games, the Atlanta Falcons pulled off 15.38 points on average per game, whereas Chicago Bears managed 23.13 points per match.
The Chicago Bears sit six spots ahead of the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC Conference. A 3-7 record this season has left the visitors in fourth place in the NFC North. They hold the position number 16 in the conference rankings, while the Atlanta Falcons are number ten. The hosts rank second in the NFC South after going 4-6.
Sunday’s game against the Carolina Panthers should be the perfect stage for the Atlanta Falcons to get back on track. They may be coming off a loss, but they are still favorites to win with home-field advantage on their side. The Atlanta Falcons are favored at 1.58 moneyline odds while the Chicago Bears are 2.50 underdogs on the Moneyline in this matchup. Atlanta Falcons are as high as -3.0 on the point spread at 1.90 odds.
Against the Spread
The oddsmakers are siding with the Atlanta Falcons (1.58) on the spread, but not by much. The hosts open up as -3.0 point favorites over the Chicago Bears for Sunday’s showdown. In the last eight matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 11.5 points.
Backing the Atlanta Falcons to cover the spread looks like a red flag here, even on home soil. They’ve failed to cover the spread in their last four outings ahead of Sunday’s matchup. In their previous ten games, the Atlanta Falcons went 6-4 ATS overall and 4-2 ATS in the last ten games at home.
The past five visits to the Mercedes-Benz Stadium have gone rather well for the Chicago Bears, having bagged three wins by an average winning margin of 15.3 points. In their past 10 matches, the Chicago Bears went 5-5 ATS and also ended up 3-4 ATS from their seven most recent road trips.
Matches between the Atlanta Falcons and Chicago Bears tend not to be the most high-scoring affairs as their average score says 38.51 points in their last eight meetings.
The average total in the last five encounters between the Atlanta Falcons and Chicago Bears was 42.6 points. As the total for their latest showdown is set at 49.0, taking the Under (2.50) might just be worth its weight in gold.
The total has averaged 48.2 points in the Atlanta Falcons’ ten most recent games, as well as 49.2 points in their last five at home. It’s worth noting that the Atlanta Falcons have seen the total go under in each of their last ten matchups.
As for the Chicago Bears, the total has gone over in five of their last six outings. Over was a winning bet three times in the past 5 road games for the Chicago Bears, who are 6-4 against the total in their last 10 home and away games combined.