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Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns Prediction

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  • Buffalo Bills have failed to cover the spread in their last three games.
  • In six of the Buffalo Bills’ last seven games the total went under
  • Cleveland Browns have won five of their previous six games.
  • Buffalo Bills won the last three H2H matches against Cleveland Browns when playing at home.

The Buffalo Bills (6-3) play the Cleveland Browns (3-6) at Highmark Stadium on 20th November at 18:00. The Buffalo Bills are in third place in AFC East after collecting six wins from nine games so far in the regular season, while three wins in nine matches leaves Cleveland Browns third in the AFC North. The Buffalo Bills are the big favorites to snatch the win on the moneyline. Considering how strongly the oddsmakers rate their chances against the Cleveland Browns, the home crowd will be anything but impressed if they somehow slip up at the Highmark Stadium.

Buffalo Bills Form

The Buffalo Bills were left licking their wounds when the Minnesota Vikings handed them a surprise 30-33 defeat in their last match. They now have a 6-3 record for the season and are 4-1 in the last five home games.

The offense has performed to its usual standards of late, putting up 27.2 points in the last five matches, which is on par with the 27.8 points average the Buffalo Bills have achieved for this season. On the defensive side of the ball, there has been no letup whatsoever. The hosts boast one of the stingiest defenses in the entire country, allowing just 16.8 points per game for this season, and have remained formidable in the past five games, having only given up 18.6 points on average.

In 2021, the Buffalo Bills came home in first place in the AFC East standings after going 12-7 across all games. The hosts naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoff during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.

Cleveland Browns Form

Form is not looking good for Cleveland Browns, who came up short in a 39-17 defeat against Miami Dolphins last week. Moreover, they have lost their last three road matches in a row. Their overall record for the last 10 games is 3-7.

The Cleveland Browns continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 22.4 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 24.1 points, this suggests the offensive unit remains as reliable as ever. On the other side of the ball, the hosts have continued to struggle in defense. In the same number of games, they’ve surrendered 28.6 points and rank in position number 24 in the league for points allowed, having given up 26.4 points this year alone.

In 2021, the Cleveland Browns came home in third place in the AFC North standings after going 8-9 across all games. The visitors naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoffs during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns H2H

The Cleveland Browns bagged a 19-16 win over the Buffalo Bills in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the FirstEnergy Stadium in November 2019. The Buffalo Bills have enjoyed the upper hand over the Cleveland Browns from their previous 13 matchups. The home side celebrated seven wins to go 7-6 in this series and will look to continue their dominance at the Highmark Stadium.

The Buffalo Bills tallied 19.23 points on average per game from their 13 most recent head-to-head games against the Cleveland Browns. The latter managed an average of 15.08 points in comparison.


Heading into Week 11 of the regular season, the Buffalo Bills occupy third in the AFC East standings. They are 6-3 this season and 3-1 at home, while the Cleveland Browns sit third in the AFC North and have gone 1-3 on the road and 6-3 overall.



Take the Buffalo Bills (-385) to win outright on the moneyline for the upcoming match at the Highmark Stadium. They look the better pick of the two sides, having gone 3-2 in the last five matches, and are 4-1 at home this season, whereas the Cleveland Browns are just 1-3 on the road.

Against the Spread

The Buffalo Bills (-385) are -8.0 favorites over the Cleveland Browns, according to the oddsmakers. If the hosts hold that to be true, they could well be on their way to one of the biggest victories of Week 11. A one-score game anyhow seems to be where the smart money lies, as the last five rounds between the Buffalo Bills and the Cleveland Browns produced an average winning margin of 8.4 points.

Backing the Buffalo Bills to cover the spread, however, looks like a red flag here, even on home soil. They’ve failed to cover the spread in their last three outings ahead of Sunday’s matchup. In their previous ten games, the Buffalo Bills went 4-5 ATS overall and 4-2 ATS in the last six games at home.

The past five visits to the Highmark Stadium have seen the Cleveland Browns end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard three times, with an average losing margin of 14.3 points. The visitors are 3-2 ATS from their five most recent road trips, as well as 6-4 ATS in their last ten games overall.


There was an average of 34.31 points scored in the previous 13 clashes between the Buffalo Bills and the Cleveland Browns.

The average total in the last five encounters between the Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns was 34.8 points. As the total for their latest showdown is set at 43.0, taking the Under (+300) might just be worth its weight in gold.

Buffalo Bills saw six of their previous seven games going under. Meanwhile, betting on the over would’ve paid out as a winning bet in all of the last three games at the Highmark Stadium for the Buffalo Bills, who are 2-8 in their last ten home and away matches combined.

As for the Cleveland Browns, the average total has been 49.6 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 45.8 points in the last five on the road. Against the total, the Cleveland Browns have gone over in two of the last five road matches and are 7-2 in the last ten overall.