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Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction

  • Buffalo Bills have won their last three games in a row

The Buffalo Bills (9-3) play the New York Jets (7-5) at Highmark Stadium on 11th December in Week 14 of NFL. The AFC East race is taking shape ahead of this Week 14 divisional matchup. The Buffalo Bills hold first place in the divisional standings, having gone 9-3 after 12 regular season matches. Sitting third is the New York Jets, who are 7-5 from 12 outings. As the regular season enters its final weeks, the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets are both set for the playoffs and will look to extend their grip on a postseason berth by winning the latest matchup of this series.

Buffalo Bills Form

The Buffalo Bills improved their regular season record to 9-3 last week by beating the New England Patriots 10-24. They’ve gone 7-3 in their past ten matches and 4-1 in the last five at home.

The Buffalo Bills continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 26.0 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 27.8 points, this suggests the offensive unit is consistent. The defense, on the other hand, hasn’t been as effective in putting the brakes on opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, 22.2 points have been lost on average. This is more than the home team usually gives up, having allowed a decent 17.4 points per game this season.

In 2021, the Buffalo Bills came home in first place in the AFC East standings after going 12-7 across all games. The hosts naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoff during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.

New York Jets Form

The New York Jets head to the Highmark Stadium on the back of a 27-22 defeat to the Minnesota Vikings last week, leaving them 6-4 in their past ten games and 3-2 in the last seven on the road.

The New York Jets will bring a middle-of-the-park offense for their latest game on the road, having scored 21.0 points per game this season. However, on the defensive side of the ball, there has been no letup whatsoever. The visitors boast one of the stingiest defenses in the entire country, allowing just 18.6 points per game for this season, and have remained formidable in the past five games, having only given up 17.2 points on average.

The New York Jets have been one of the surprise packages this season. Despite being billed as an unlikely bet in the AFC playoff race, the visitors hold the seventh seed in the AFC Conference in Week 14, leaving them set for an unexpected postseason berth this coming January.

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets H2H

The New York Jets bagged a 20-17 win over the Buffalo Bills in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the MetLife Stadium in November 2022. The total has gone over 44.5 points in 12 of the last 25 meetings between the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets.

The Buffalo Bills tallied 23.92 points on average per game from their 25 most recent head-to-head games against the New York Jets. The latter managed an average of 21.68 points in comparison.


For Week 14 of the regular season, the Buffalo Bills find themselves sitting cozy at the top of the AFC East standings. The hosts have gone a solid 9-3 in seven games. The same can’t be said for the New York Jets though, whose 7-5 record is only good enough for third in the AFC East.



Backing the Buffalo Bills (-500) to win outright on the moneyline looks too good to pass up. The hosts were strong at the Highmark Stadium last season with a 7-3 record, and have won four of the last five home games. The Buffalo Bills are favored to take a home win on the moneyline at -500, while the New York Jets are the +375 underdogs for this matchup. On the point spread, the Buffalo Bills are as high as -9.5 with odds of -111.

Against the Spread

The Buffalo Bills (-110) are the 9.5-point favorites over the New York Jets, according to the oddsmakers. If the hosts hold that to be true, they could well be on their way to one of the biggest victories of Week 14. In the last 25 matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 14.6 points.

In this series, the Buffalo Bills have normally proved to be a bit of a gold mine against the spread. The hosts are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 matchups against the New York Jets. The hosts are also 5-2 ATS in the past seven games at home and 4-5 ATS overall from their previous ten games.

The past five visits to the Highmark Stadium have seen the New York Jets end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard three times, with an average losing margin of 12.0 points. In their past 10 matches, the visitors went 6-4 ATS and also ended up 5-2 ATS from their seven most recent road trips.


The last 25 games between the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets offered a decent average of 45.6 points on the board.

Siding with the Under (-110) seems a worthwhile bet. The total is set at 44.5, and with the two teams boasting an average points total of 41.6 from their last five matchups, it seems going under is the way to go.

The total has averaged 45.3 points in the Buffalo Bills’ ten most recent games, as well as 50.0 points in their last five at home. Interestedly, the total has gone under in seven of the Buffalo Bills’ past ten matchups against teams from the AFC East.

On average, the New York Jets have seen 38.1 points go on board during their past ten matches and 33.6 points in their last five contests on the road. Interestedly, the total has gone under in six of the New York Jets’ past ten matchups against teams from the AFC East.