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Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Prediction

  • Dallas Cowboys have won their last three games in a row
  • Dallas Cowboys have covered the spread in five of their last six games at AT&T Stadium.
  • Dallas Cowboys’ last three games at the AT&T Stadium went over.
  • Houston Texans have lost their last seven matches in a row.
  • Houston Texans have failed to cover the spread in their last four games.
  • In five of the Houston Texans’ last six games, the total went under

The Houston Texans (1-10-1) take to the road to face the Dallas Cowboys (9-3) at the AT&T Stadium on Sunday for a Week 14 matchup. A tally of nine wins from 12 games leaves the Dallas Cowboys with a divisional ranking of second in the NFC East, while the Houston Texans are fourth in the AFC South after collecting one victory out of a possible 12. The Dallas Cowboys are the big favorites to snatch the win on the moneyline. Considering how strongly the oddsmakers rate their chances against the Houston Texans, the home crowd will be anything but impressed if they somehow slip up at the AT&T Stadium.

Dallas Cowboys Form

The Dallas Cowboys are on a great run of form after making it three wins in a row by beating the Indianapolis Colts 54-19 last week, leaving them 8-2 in their last 10 matches.

There has been no letup from the ever-impressive home offense, having put up 39.8 points on average across the last five matches. This leaves the Dallas Cowboys with a regular season average of 27.8 points. The defense, on the other hand, hasn’t been as effective in putting the brakes on opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, 20.4 points have been lost on average. This is more than the home team usually gives up, having allowed a decent 17.2 points per game this season.

In 2021, the Dallas Cowboys came home in first place in the NFC East standings after going 12-6 across all games. The hosts naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoff during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.

Houston Texans Form

A 14-27 defeat last week against Cleveland Browns extended the losing streak of the Houston Texans to seven matches. It also brought their overall record for the past 10 games down to a poor 1-9.

The Houston Texans offense has struggled to bring its A-game this season, putting up a mere 15.7 points on average. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 26.6 points in the previous five outings, which is a fair bit more than the 23.9 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

Unsurprisingly, the Houston Texans are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the away side to go far, and given their 1-10 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans H2H

The Houston Texans were able to avenge their 34-0 defeat against the Dallas Cowboys in August 2019 by winning the latest meeting between the two teams 14-20 at the AT&T Stadium. The total has gone under 46.0 points in 13 of the last 13 meetings between the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans.

In their last 13 head-to-head games, the Dallas Cowboys managed 18.54 points on average per game, while the Houston Texans put 17.54 points on board.


Heading into Week 14 of the regular season, the Dallas Cowboys occupy second in the NFC East standings. They are 9-3 this season and 6-1 at home, while the Houston Texans sit fourth in the AFC South and have gone 1-5 on the road and 1-10-1 overall.



The Dallas Cowboys have rallied off three straight wins as they enter Week 14, so it’s no surprise that they are favored over Houston Texans. The Houston Texans have struggled on defense, allowing an average of 23.9 points per game which may justify a spread as high as -16.5 The Dallas Cowboys are favored to take a home win on the moneyline at -1429, while the Houston Texans are the +850 underdogs for this matchup. On the point spread, the Dallas Cowboys are as high as -16.5 with odds of -111.

Against the Spread

The Dallas Cowboys (-110) are expected to win by more than a touchdown on Sunday. The oddsmakers currently have the hosts down as the 16.5-point favorites over the Houston Texans in the Week 14 betting lines. In the last 13 matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 9.8 points.

The Dallas Cowboys tend to play well at home against the Houston Texans. Over the past five games between the two teams at the AT&T Stadium, the home side has won three games by an average margin of 3.3 points. The Dallas Cowboys are specialists in covering the spread and have the stats to prove it. They have covered the spread in four of their past five home matches and are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 overall.

Backing the Houston Texans, on the other hand, seems to be a no-go at the moment. The visitors are running high and dry in this betting line after failing to cover the spread in their last four matches. The visitors are 3-4 ATS from their seven most recent road trips, as well as 2-8 ATS in their last ten games overall.


The points total in matches between the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans tends to sway to the lower side, as they have averaged 36.08 points in their last 13 meetings.

The average total in the last five encounters between the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans was 33.6 points. As the total for their latest showdown is set at 46.0, taking the Under (-109) might just be worth its weight in gold.

The total has averaged 48.0 points in the Dallas Cowboys’ ten most recent games, as well as 52.8 points in their last five at home. Against the total, the Dallas Cowboys have gone over in each of their past three home games and are 4-5 in the last ten overall.

The total went under in the last two games Houston Texans played on the road. Interestedly, the total has gone under in six of the Houston Texans’ past ten matchups against teams from the NFC East.