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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

  • Denver Broncos have lost their last four matches.
  • Denver Broncos have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at home.
  • The total went under in all of the Denver Broncos’ last seven games at the Empower Field at Mile High
  • Kansas City Chiefs won five of their previous six games
  • Four of Kansas City Chiefs’ last five games went under
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have won the last seven head-to-head matches against the Denver Broncos on the road.

The Denver Broncos (3-9) play the Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) at Empower Field at Mile High on 11th December in Week 14 of the NFL. Exactly six wins lie between the teams ahead of this AFC West matchup. The Kansas City Chiefs boast the better record out of the two, winning nine out of a possible 12 to top the division. The Denver Broncos follow up in fourth place, with three wins to their account. It has been a miserable month for the Denver Broncos and reaching the playoffs seem but a distant dream following their recent losing streak of four defeats in a row. Can they rise to the challenge against the Kansas City Chiefs or does more disappointment lie in waiting?

Denver Broncos Form

The Denver Broncos were dealt a tough blow last week when they lost 10-9 to the Baltimore Ravens. The defeat extended their losing streak to four games, leaving their overall record for the past 10 games at 2-8.

Things haven’t improved on the offense front for the Denver Broncos at all, having put just 13.2 points on board across the last five matches. In all, the offense has averaged 13.8 points for the season. On the defensive side of the ball, there has been no letup whatsoever. The hosts boast one of the stingiest defenses in the entire country, allowing just 17.0 points per game for this season, and have remained formidable in the past five games, having only given up 17.8 points on average.

In 2021, the Denver Broncos went 7-10 to end up fourth in the AFC West and out of playoff contention. They hoped to make a return to the NFL postseason this year, but it looks like fans will have to wait a little longer as the hosts are only 3-9 this season so far.

Kansas City Chiefs Form

The Kansas City Chiefs suffered a setback last week, going down 27-24 last week against the Cincinnati Bengals last week. This is the only disappointment they’ve suffered of late, having won five of their six most recent games.

A strong offense has been a highlight for the Kansas City Chiefs this season. The unit ranks first in the NFL’s offensive ladder with 29.2 points per game and has put up 25.4 points in the last five matches alone. That said, a middle-of-the-pack defense is what the Kansas City Chiefs have to offer ahead of their latest road trip, with 22.5 points allowed across 12 matches so far.

In the Kansas City Chiefs, lies a potential dark horse in the Super Bowl race. This team made it to the AFC Championship game in the previous football season, ending up first in the AFC West standings to boot, and should be capable of at least making it to the playoffs once more this year.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs H2H

The Kansas City Chiefs downed the Denver Broncos 24-28 in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the Empower Field at Mile High in January 2022. Playing the Denver Broncos has been a great experience for the Kansas City Chiefs in recent times with three wins on the bounce. Their recent record in this series stands at 16-9 from their last 25 games against the Denver Broncos.

While the Denver Broncos averaged 20.52 points, the Kansas City Chiefs performed an average of 23.48 points in their 25 most recent head-to-head games.


Heading into Week 14 of the regular season, the Denver Broncos occupy fourth in the AFC West standings. They are 3-9 this season and 2-3 at home, while the Kansas City Chiefs sit first in the AFC West and have gone 4-2 on the road and 9-3 overall.



It’s fair to say the Kansas City Chiefs losing back-to-back to the Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Rams took a lot of us by surprise, as they should’ve done better. However, given how strongly they’re backed on the moneyline, the Denver Broncos could be the perfect opponent for the Kansas City Chiefs to get back on track with a road win The Kansas City Chiefs are favored at -400 on the moneyline, while the Denver Broncos are the clear underdogs for this matchup with odds of +320. On the point spread, the Kansas City Chiefs are as high as -8.5, with odds available at -111.

Against the Spread

The Kansas City Chiefs (-109) are expected to win by more than a touchdown in Sunday’s road trip. The visitors open as the 8.5-point favorites over the Denver Broncos on the Week 14 betting lines. In the last 25 matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 12.1 points.

Home-field advantage hasn’t worked its magic for the Denver Broncos recently though, at least for spread betting. The hosts have failed to cover the spread in their last three games and counting at the Empower Field at Mile High. The hosts are also 3-4 ATS in the past seven games at home and 4-6 ATS overall from their previous ten games.

The past five visits to the Empower Field at Mile High have gone rather well for the Kansas City Chiefs, having bagged five wins by an average winning margin of 12.4 points. The visitors are 3-4 ATS from their seven most recent road trips, as well as 4-6 ATS in their last ten games overall.


The last 25 head-to-head games between and Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs failed to pass the 45 point mark, averaging 44 points in total.

Siding with the Under (-110) seems a worthwhile bet. The total is set at 41.5, and with the two teams boasting an average points total of 41.2 from their last five matchups, it seems going under is the way to go.

In the last eight matches Denver Broncos played, the total score went under. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Denver Broncos, the total didn’t go over even once. The hosts are 1-9 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.

On average, the Kansas City Chiefs have seen 50.4 points go on board during their past ten matches and 56.8 points in their last five contests on the road. Over was a winning bet three times in the past 5 road games for the Kansas City Chiefs, who are 4-6 against the total in their last 10 home and away games combined.