Home » Picks » Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

  • by
  • Houston Texans have lost their last eight matches.
  • Houston Texans have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at home.
  • In four of the Houston Texans’ last five games the total went under
  • Kansas City Chiefs won six of their previous seven games
  • Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in their last two games away.

The Houston Texans (1-11-1) welcome the Kansas City Chiefs (10-3) over to the NRG Stadium on Sunday for a Week 15 matchup. Exactly nine wins lie between the two squads. The Kansas City Chiefs boast the better record out of the two, winning ten out of a possible 13 to go first in the AFC West. The Houston Texans follow up in fourth place in the AFC South, with just a single victory to their account. There seems to be no need to the amount of misery the home crowd has been through this season. The Houston Texans are on an eight-match losing streak and are eliminated from playoff contention, leaving them with little to play for in what is effectively a dead-rubber game for them against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Houston Texans Form

The Houston Texans are having a tough time at the moment. They lost 27-23 to the Dallas Cowboys last week and now enter their latest game at the NRG Stadium on the back of an eight-match losing streak, which includes a run of five straight home defeats. Their overall record for the last 10 games is 1-9.

The Houston Texans’ offense has been abysmal all season. It has put up just 16.2 points per game and they saw no improvement in the last five matches, which produced an average of 15.6 points. On the other side of the ball, the defense has given up 26.2 points in the previous five outings, which is more then the 24.2 points the visitors have allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

It’s game over, as far as the Houston Texans’ postseason hopes are concerned. One win from 12 games has led to elimination from the playoffs. On the plus side, they home side can potentially finish high up in the NFL draft order.

Kansas City Chiefs Form

The Kansas City Chiefs are still in decent shape with a run of six wins in seven games lately. Their most recent matchup ended in a 34-28 win against the Denver Broncos, leaving them 10-3 in the regular season.

A virtuoso offense is the first step to winning games on the road, which the Kansas City Chiefs have covered. In 13 rounds this season, the offensive unit has put up a solid 29.5 points on average. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 21.8 points in the previous five outings, which is less than the 22.9 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

In the Kansas City Chiefs, lies a potential dark horse in the Super Bowl race. This team made it to the AFC Championship game in the previous football season, ending up first in the AFC West standings to boot, and should be capable of at least making it to the playoffs once more this year.

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs H2H

The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 34-20 win for the Kansas City Chiefs at the Arrowhead Stadium in September 2020. The Houston Texans came away with two wins from their past five matchups against the Kansas City Chiefs, leaving them with an overall record of 2-3.

In their past 15 head-to-head games, the Houston Texans pulled off 21.6 points on average per game, whereas Kansas City Chiefs managed 24.73 points per match.


Heading into Week 15 of the regular season, the Houston Texans occupy fourth in the AFC South standings. They are 1-11-1 this season and 0-5-1 at home, while the Kansas City Chiefs sit top of the AFC West and have gone 5-2 on the road and 10-3 overall.



The Kansas City Chiefs are favored at -901 on the moneyline, while the Houston Texans are the clear underdogs for this matchup with odds of +600. On the point spread, the Kansas City Chiefs are as high as -14.0, with odds available at -110.

Against the Spread

The Kansas City Chiefs are slated to win by more than a touchdown in Sunday’s trip, with the visiting team opening as a 14-point road favorite over the Houston Texans on the Week 15 betting line. The 15 most recent matchups in this series have seen an average points margin of 9.3 points.

The Houston Texans have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at home. In their past nine matchups against teams from the AFC West, the Houston Texans have gone 6-3 ATS and are 3-7 ATS from their past 10 matches.

The past five visits to the NRG Stadium have gone rather well for the Kansas City Chiefs, having bagged three wins by an average winning margin of 5.0 points. The visitors are 3-5 ATS from their eight most recent road trips, as well as 4-6 ATS in their last ten games overall.


There was an average of 46.33 points scored in the previous 15 clashes between the Houston Texans and the Kansas City Chiefs.

Going for the Over proved to be a winning bet in six of the past 15 meetings of this series. The total is set at 47.0 points for this Week 15 matchup at the NRG Stadium.

The total has averaged 41.7 points in the Houston Texans’ ten most recent games, as well as 41.0 points in their last five at home. Interestedly, the total has gone under in six of the Houston Texans’ past nine matchups against teams from the AFC West.

The Kansas City Chiefs, on the other hand, have cashed in on the over in four of their last five games played on the road. Also worth noting is the fact that over was a winning bet in four of the last five road games for the Kansas City Chiefs. All in all, they went 5-5 in the over/under in their past 10 home and away matches combined.