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Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

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  • Philadelphia Eagles won eight of their previous nine games.
  • Philadelphia Eagles have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at home.
  • The total went over in each of the Philadelphia Eagles’ three games.

The Indianapolis Colts (4-5-1) welcome the Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) over to the Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday for a Week 11 matchup. The Indianapolis Colts are in second place in AFC South after collecting four wins from ten games so far in the regular season, while eight wins in nine matches leaves Philadelphia Eagles first in the NFC East. It’s now getting toward that time of the year when every match counts. For the Indianapolis Colts and the Philadelphia Eagles, a victory here could prove to be a game-changer in their respective campaigns.

Indianapolis Colts Form

The Indianapolis Colts took a 20-25 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders in their most recent outing, leaving them 4-5-1 from their last ten matches.

The Indianapolis Colts’ offense has been abysmal all season. It has put up just 15.7 points per game and they saw no improvement in the last five matches, which produced an average of 17.6 points. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The hosts have given up 21.8 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 20.3 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

This year, the Indianapolis Colts had been tipped to go far into the playoffs. However, ten matches into the current regular season, the hosts are only 4-5 and won’t be around when January football gets underway unless, of course, they can turn things around quickly.

Philadelphia Eagles Form

The Philadelphia Eagles hope to get back on track after suffering a setback last week, going down 21-32 against the Washington Commanders. Form has looked good, though, with four wins in five matches, while their overall record from the past 10 games says 8-2.

The offense has continued to torment opposing defenses consistently, averaging 26.2 points in the last five matches. This leaves the Philadelphia Eagles’ tally for the season at 27.3 points overall. The defense, on the other hand, hasn’t been as effective in putting the brakes on opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, 19.2 points have been lost on average. This is more than the away team usually gives up, having allowed a decent 18.6 points per game this season.

In 2021, the Philadelphia Eagles came home in second place in the NFC East standings after going 9-9 across all games. The visitors naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoffs during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles H2H

The Philadelphia Eagles downed the Indianapolis Colts 20-16 in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the Lincoln Financial Field in September 2018. The Philadelphia Eagles have enjoyed a fantastic reading on the Indianapolis Colts recently, having claimed three wins in a row against their upcoming opponent. Their record in this series is 5-2 from seven games.

The Indianapolis Colts tallied 24 points on average per game from their seven most recent head-to-head games against the Philadelphia Eagles. The latter managed an average of 25.86 points in comparison.


Out of the two teams, the Philadelphia Eagles have enjoyed a more successful season in terms of straight wins. The visitors rank first in the NFC East and have collected four more wins than the Indianapolis Colts, who have gone 4-5 this season and sit second in the AFC South in comparison.



Take the Philadelphia Eagles (155) for a straight win on the moneyline. The visitors may have lost 32-21 against the Washington Commanders last time out, but this matchup is a great chance for them to get back to winning ways. They are 4-0 on the road and should prove too much for an Indianapolis Colts side that is only 2-2 at home.

Against the Spread

The Philadelphia Eagles (165) open as the -6.5 point road favorites against the Indianapolis Colts, according to the oddsmakers. This suggests they should win by more than a touchdown. In the last seven matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 11.0 points.

It’s been nip and tuck as far as the Indianapolis Colts’ recent home record against the Philadelphia Eagles is concerned. Both teams have a 50% win rate from their past four matchups at the Lucas Oil Stadium, with an average points margin of 11.3 points between them. In their previous ten games, the Indianapolis Colts went 4-6 ATS overall and 3-3 ATS in the last ten games at home.

On the other side of the field, the Philadelphia Eagles have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games on the road. The visitors are 2-4 ATS from their six most recent road trips, as well as 5-5 ATS in their last ten games overall.


The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last seven games between the Indianapolis Colts and the Philadelphia Eagles produced an average of 49.86 points.

Going for the Over (-139) might be worth a shot, with the total currently set at 45.0 points, as the total average points from the previous five meetings between the Indianapolis Colts and Philadelphia Eagles was 49 points.

The total has gone under in four of Indianapolis Colts’ last five games on their home turf. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in two of the last five home games for the Indianapolis Colts. They are 2-8 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.

In the last three matches Philadelphia Eagles played, the total score went over. Interestedly, the Philadelphia Eagles have seen the total go over in each of their last nine matchups.