- Los Angeles Chargers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at home.
- Kansas City Chiefs have won their last three games in a row
- Kansas City Chiefs have won the last eight head-to-head matches against the Los Angeles Chargers on the road.
The Los Angeles Chargers (5-4) play the Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) at SoFi Stadium on 21st November in Week 11 of NFL. A tally of five wins from nine games leaves the Los Angeles Chargers with a divisional ranking of second in the AFC West, while the Kansas City Chiefs are first in the AFC West after collecting seven victories out of a possible nine. It’s now getting toward that time of the year when every match counts. For the Los Angeles Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs, a victory here could prove to be a game-changer in their respective campaigns.
Los Angeles Chargers Form
The Los Angeles Chargers are 5-4 for the season and their latest match against the San Francisco 49ers ended in a 22-16 defeat, leaving them 5-5 across their past 10 games and 2-3 in the last five at home.
In terms of points added, it’s fair to say the Los Angeles Chargers have a strong and consistent offense. The unit has put 21.6 points on board in the last five matches after all, while averaging 22.2 points for this season. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The hosts have given up 24.0 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 25.3 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
In 2021, the Los Angeles Chargers came home in third place in the AFC West standings after going 9-8 across all games. The hosts naturally hope to go even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoff during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.
Kansas City Chiefs Form
Form is strong for the Kansas City Chiefs, who beat Jacksonville Jaguars by a 27-17 scoreline last time out, thereby extending their winning streak to three matches. Their overall regular season record is now 7-2 and 3-1 on the road.
There has been no letup from the ever-impressive away offense, having put up 28.2 points on average across the last five matches. This leaves the Kansas City Chiefs with a regular season average of 30.0 points. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 22.0 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 22.9 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
The Kansas City Chiefs are touted as a potential Super Bowl challenger for this season. While it’s still early days, things are going according to plan so far. The visitors hold the first seed in the AFC Conference, leaving them set for a spot in the January playoffs. Until then, the aim will be to strengthen their position by either maintaining or improving their current seeding.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs H2H
The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 27-24 win for the Kansas City Chiefs at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in September 2022. The total has gone over 50.0 points in 12 of the last 25 meetings between the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs.
One key problem the Kansas City Chiefs have struggled to fix in this series is how their defense has often floundered against the Los Angeles Chargers offense, having allowed 25.8 points on average in the last five matchups alone.
Standings
The AFC West race is taking shape ahead of this Week 11 divisional matchup. The Los Angeles Chargers hold second place in the divisional standings, having gone 5-4 after nine regular season matches. Sitting first is the Kansas City Chiefs, who are 7-2 from nine outings.
Betting
Moneyline
Take the Kansas City Chiefs (-278) for a straight win on the moneyline. The visitors are on a 3-0 winning streak and have won the last eight head-to-head road matches against the Los Angeles Chargers.
Against the Spread
The Kansas City Chiefs (-115) open as the -6.5 point road favorites against the Los Angeles Chargers, according to the oddsmakers. This suggests they should win by over one field goal at the very least. A one-score game anyhow seems to be where the smart money lies, as the last five rounds between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs produced an average winning margin of 7.0 points.
The Los Angeles Chargers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at home. However, the Los Angeles Chargers have only covered the spread in half of their past six home rounds and are 5-5 ATS in the last ten overall.
The past five visits to the SoFi Stadium have gone rather well for the Kansas City Chiefs, having bagged five wins by an average winning margin of 8.0 points. In their past 10 matches, the Kansas City Chiefs went 5-5 ATS and also ended up 3-2 ATS from their five most recent road trips.
Over/Under
The last 25 games between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs offered a decent average of 47.24 points on the board.
Going for the Over (-137) might be worth a shot, with the total currently set at 50.0 points, as the total average points from the previous five meetings between the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs was 53.8 points.
The total has averaged 46.5 points in the Los Angeles Chargers’ ten most recent games, as well as 47.2 points in their last five at home. Interestedly, the total has gone under in six of the Los Angeles Chargers’ past nine matchups against teams from the AFC West.
As for the Kansas City Chiefs, the average total has been 50.3 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 54.8 points in the last five on the road. Meanwhile, the over-market paid out in three of the last 5 games on the road for the Kansas City Chiefs. All in all, they are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
