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Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction

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  • Minnesota Vikings have won their last seven games in a row
  • Dallas Cowboys have won the last four head-to-head matches against the Minnesota Vikings on the road.

The Minnesota Vikings (8-1) play the Dallas Cowboys (6-3) on Sunday, 20 at 21:25 at US Bank Stadium. A tally of eight wins from nine games leaves the Minnesota Vikings with a divisional ranking of first in the NFC North, while the Dallas Cowboys are third in the NFC East after collecting six victories out of a possible nine. The Minnesota Vikings are favorites, but the Dallas Cowboys won’t go down easy. The visitors look up for a fight as they plot to beat the oddsmakers at their own game and bag a crucial win at the US Bank Stadium.

Minnesota Vikings Form

Form-wise, the Minnesota Vikings are looking strong on the back of seven straight wins. A 30-33 triumph over the Buffalo Bills last week extended their winning streak, leaving them 8-2 in their last 10 matches overall.

In terms of points added, it’s fair to say the Minnesota Vikings have a strong and consistent offense. The unit has put 28.0 points on board in the last five matches after all, while averaging 25.1 points for this season. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The hosts have given up 22.2 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 21.2 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

The Minnesota Vikings are touted as a potential Super Bowl challenger for this season. While it’s still early days, things are going according to plan so far. The hosts hold the second seed in the NFC Conference, leaving them set for a spot in the January playoffs. Until then, the aim will be to strengthen their position by either maintaining or improving their current seeding.

Dallas Cowboys Form

The Dallas Cowboys secured a 31-28 win over the Green Bay Packers in their latest match, which improved their good run of form to three wins in five games.

The offense has performed to its usual standards of late, putting up 28.0 points in the last five matches, which is on par with the 23.4 points average the Dallas Cowboys have achieved for this season. A middle-of-the-pack defense is what the Dallas Cowboys have to offer ahead of their latest road trip, with 18.2 points allowed across nine matches so far.

As the reigning NFC East champions, a successful title defense is a priority for the Dallas Cowboys right now. By doing so, they’ll seal a playoff spot and a more favorable tie at home.

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys H2H

The total went under 47.5 points in the most recent encounter between these two sides in November 2021. Bragging rights went to the Dallas Cowboys, who beat the Minnesota Vikings 16-20 to take a road win at the US Bank Stadium. The Dallas Cowboys are on a four-match winning streak on the road at the US Bank Stadium and also boast a 8-6 record in the last 15 rounds against the Minnesota Vikings overall.

The Minnesota Vikings tallied 22.4 points on average per game from their 15 most recent head-to-head games against the Dallas Cowboys. The latter managed an average of 19.73 points in comparison.


For Week 11 of the regular season, the Minnesota Vikings find themselves sitting cozy at the top of the NFC North standings. The hosts have gone a solid 8-1 in seven games. The same can’t be said for the Dallas Cowboys though, whose 6-3 record is only good enough for third in the NFC East.



Take the Minnesota Vikings (-115) for a straight win on the moneyline. The Dallas Cowboys may have won their last four road trips at the US Bank Stadium, but they’re currently on a two-match losing streak away from home. The Minnesota Vikings, on the other hand, are 7-0 in their past seven matchups.

Against the Spread

The Dallas Cowboys (-120) open as the 1.5-point road favorites over the Minnesota Vikings. Given how closely the oddsmakers have placed the spread, we could be in for a real even-stevens encounter here. A one-score game anyhow seems to be where the smart money lies, as the last five rounds between the Minnesota Vikings and the Dallas Cowboys produced an average winning margin of 5.4 points.

The Minnesota Vikings struggled to make home-field advantage count against the Dallas Cowboys in their past five matchups, losing four times at the US Bank Stadium by an average losing margin of 3.0 points. The hosts are also 2-3 ATS in the past ten games at home and 4-5 ATS overall from their previous ten games.

The past five visits to the US Bank Stadium have gone rather well for the Dallas Cowboys, having bagged four wins by an average winning margin of 3.8 points. The visitors are 3-3 ATS from their six most recent road trips, as well as 6-4 ATS in their last ten games overall.


Judging by a points average of 42.13 points from the last 15 matchups of this series, the total should land somewhere between 40 and 45 points for the latest encounter between the Minnesota Vikings and Dallas Cowboys.

Siding with the Under (-120) seems a worthwhile bet. The total is set at 47.5, and with the two teams boasting an average points total of 44.2 from their last five matchups, it seems going under is the way to go.

The total has averaged 45.3 points in the Minnesota Vikings’ ten most recent games, as well as 43.4 points in their last five at home. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in two of the last five home games for the Minnesota Vikings. They are 4-6 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.

As for the Dallas Cowboys, the average total has been 42.8 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 44.6 points in the last five on the road. Looking back over the last five road games, the total went over two times. Overall, the Dallas Cowboys are 3-6 in the over/under market from their previous ten outings.