Home » Picks » Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets Prediction

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets Prediction

  • by
  • Minnesota Vikings won eight of their previous nine games
  • New York Jets have covered the spread in five of their last six games away
  • Five of the New York Jets’ last six games went under

The Minnesota Vikings (9-2) play the New York Jets (7-4) on Sunday, 4 at 18:00 at US Bank Stadium. In terms of straight wins, the Minnesota Vikings have had the more successful year. They have bagged nine wins out of a possible 11, two more than the New York Jets, who are third in the AFC East. It leaves the home side top of the NFC North going into this matchup. As the regular season enters its final weeks, the Minnesota Vikings and the New York Jets are both set for the playoffs and will look to extend their grip on a postseason berth by winning the latest matchup of this series.

Minnesota Vikings Form

Taking on the Minnesota Vikings at the US Bank Stadium is no mean feat at the moment. The hosts have won four of their last five home games straight up and arrive on the back of a 33-26 win against the New England Patriots.

The offense has performed to its usual standards of late, putting up 24.6 points in the last five matches, which is on par with the 23.8 points average the Minnesota Vikings have achieved for this season. As for the defense, the hosts have given up 27.8 points across the previous five outings. Considering the defensive unit has only allowed 23.4 points for the season itself, it’s fair to say the defensive unit has not performed to its usual standards of late.

The Minnesota Vikings are touted as a potential Super Bowl challenger for this season. While it’s still early days, things are going according to plan so far. The hosts hold the second seed in the NFC Conference, leaving them set for a spot in the January playoffs. Until then, the aim will be to strengthen their position by either maintaining or improving their current seeding.

New York Jets Form

The New York Jets bounced back from a defeat last time out by nailing a 31-10 win over the Chicago Bears, which improved their good run of form to three wins in five games and their regular season record to 7-4. They are also 4-1 on the road.

It’s been a rough few weeks for the visiting offense in terms of points scored. In the last five matches, the New York Jets have only put up 17.4 points on average which is way below their season average of 20.9 points. With 17.8 points allowed per game, the New York Jets’ defense is up in the top half of the league’s defensive rankings, which may give them some pull for their latest trip.

The New York Jets have been one of the surprise packages this season. Despite being billed as an unlikely bet in the AFC playoff race, the visitors hold the seventh seed in the AFC Conference in Week 13, leaving them set for an unexpected postseason berth this coming January.

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets H2H

The Minnesota Vikings won their last two matches against the New York Jets. The latest game finished with a 17-37 score on October 2018, while the game before that ended in a 30-24 victory on December 2014. The implied probability of a third straight win for the Minnesota Vikings (-172) is at 63%. For the past five matchups in this series, the home side boasts a 3-2 record.

In their last five head-to-head games, the Minnesota Vikings managed 27.4 points on average per game, while the New York Jets put 23.2 points on board.

Standings

The Minnesota Vikings go into this Week 13 matchup with a playoff spot firmly within their grasp. The hosts are first in the NFC North and second-seeded in the NFC. Their 9-2 regular season record also means they have collected two more wins than the 7-4 New York Jets, who rank third in the AFC East.

Betting

Moneyline

Backing the Minnesota Vikings (-172) to win outright on the moneyline looks too good to pass up. The hosts were strong at the US Bank Stadium last season with a 5-3 record, and have won four of the last five home games.

Against the Spread

The Minnesota Vikings (-110) are expected to win by just over a field goal, but not much more than that. The hosts open up as the 3.0-point favorites over the New York Jets for Sunday. A winning margin as high as 13.0 points has settled the last five matches between the Minnesota Vikings and New York Jets.

The Minnesota Vikings and the New York Jets have been evenly matched at the US Bank Stadium in their past two matchups. They each share one win, with an average margin of victory of 9.5 points. The hosts are also 3-4 ATS in the past seven games at home and 4-5 ATS overall from their previous ten games.

The New York Jets, meanwhile, have covered the spread in five of their last six games on the road. Betting on the New York Jets against the spread has been a bit of a gold mine of late. They have covered the spread in four of their past 10 games on the road, and are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 overall.

Over/Under

The five meetings between the Minnesota Vikings and the New York Jets have produced a total of 50.6 points.

Going for the Over (-112) in Sunday’s matchup at the US Bank Stadium seems the way to go as the total has gone over in four of the past five matchups between the Minnesota Vikings and the New York Jets.

The total has averaged 48.9 points in the Minnesota Vikings’ ten most recent games, as well as 53.0 points in their last five at home. Against the total, the Minnesota Vikings have gone over in all of their past three home games and are 5-5 in the last 10 overall.

The last three road games New York Jets played, however, the total went under. Interestedly, the total has also gone under in six of the New York Jets’ past nine matchups against teams from the NFC North.