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New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Prediction

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  • Washington Commanders have won their last three games in a row
  • Washington Commanders have covered the spread in their last three games away
  • Four of Washington Commanders’ last five away games went under

The New York Giants (7-4) play the Washington Commanders (7-5) on Sunday, 4 at 18:00 at MetLife Stadium. The NFC East is shaping up ahead of this Week 13 showdown. The New York Giants are in third place, having won seven of their 11 regular season games. The Washington Commanders are fourth, with seven wins from as many matches. Now we’re over the halfway point of the regular season, every game counts more than ever. There is simply no more room for error. With this in mind, along with everything else that is at stake, we’re expecting the New York Giants and the Washington Commanders to put out all the stops for a much-needed victory.

New York Giants Form

The New York Giants fell to back-to-back defeats last week when the Dallas Cowboys beat them 28-20. The hosts are now 6-4 in their past 10 games overall and 3-2 in the last five at home.

Unfortunately, the New York Giants offense hasn’t performed to its usual standards of late. In the last five matches, the offensive unit has only put up 19.6 points on average, which is someway off this season’s tally of 20.5 points. Surrendering 21.1 points per game leaves the New York Giants’ defense around the middle of the pack compared to the rest of the league’s defensive units.

Despite going no further than the wild card round of the playoffs last January, New York Giants are hopeful of a potential NFC Championship challenge after going 7-4 in the regular season so far.

Washington Commanders Form

Form is really looking good for the Washington Commanders after claiming a 19-13 win against Atlanta Falcons last week. The victory extended their winning streak to three matches, improving their regular season record to 7-5. They are also 4-2 on the road.

The Washington Commanders offense seems to have kicked things up a notch lately. Despite posting only 19.4 points for the season, the offensive unit has put 21.6 points on board in the last five matches alone. On the defensive side of the ball, there has been no letup whatsoever. The visitors boast one of the stingiest defenses in the entire country, allowing just 19.7 points per game for this season, and have remained formidable in the past five games, having only given up 16.0 points on average.

The Washington Commanders began the regular season backed to go far in the playoffs, and having gone 7-5 from 12 games so far, they’re on course to reach this target. The aim now for the away team is to at least maintain or improve on their seventh seed in the NFC Conference.

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders H2H

The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 7-22 win for the Washington Commanders at the MetLife Stadium in January 2022. In ten of the past 25 meetings between the New York Giants and the Washington Commanders, the total went over 41.0 points.

While the New York Giants averaged 23.6 points, the Washington Commanders performed an average of 17.96 points in their 25 most recent head-to-head games.

Standings

Heading into Week 13 of the regular season, the New York Giants occupy third in the NFC East standings. They are 7-4 this season and 4-2 at home, while the Washington Commanders sit fourth in the NFC East and have gone 4-2 on the road and 7-5 overall.

Betting

Moneyline

Take the Washington Commanders (-134) to win on the moneyline. The New York Giants seem to have lost their spark of late. They are on a two-match losing streak and 0-2 in NFC West matchups for this season. On the other hand, the Washington Commanders have won their last three games.

Against the Spread

The Washington Commanders (-109) open as the -1.5 point road favorites over the New York Giants. Given how closely the oddsmakers have placed the spread, we could be in for a real even-stevens encounter here. In the last 25 matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 11.2 points.

The New York Giants tend to play well at home against the Washington Commanders. Over the past five games between the two teams at MetLife Stadium, the home side has won three games by an average margin of 10 points. The hosts are also 5-2 ATS in the past seven games at home and 7-3 ATS overall from their previous ten games.

The smart money is on the Washington Commanders, who have covered the spread in their last three games. They may be on the road, but they still look too good to pass up here. The visitors are also 4-4 ATS from their eight most recent road trips, as well as 6-3 ATS in their last ten games overall.

Over/Under

The last 25 head-to-head games between and New York Giants and the Washington Commanders failed to pass the 45 point mark, averaging 41.56 points in total.

Take the under (-112) for this latest matchup between the New York Giants and the Washington Commanders. The total has gone over in 15 of the past 25 times that these teams have locked horns, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see it go under again on Sunday.

The total has averaged 41.6 points in the New York Giants’ ten most recent games, as well as 40.8 points in their last five at home. Interestedly, the New York Giants have seen the total go over in each of their last eight matchups.

The total has gone under in four of Washington Commanders’ last five games. Going on the road doesn’t always seem to produce the expected number of points for the Washington Commanders, as the total has gone under in three of the past eight matchups matches away from home.