- Miami Dolphins won five of their previous six games
- Miami Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at home.
- In four of Miami Dolphins’ last five games, the total went over
The Los Angeles Chargers (6-6) play the Miami Dolphins (8-4) at SoFi Stadium on 12th December at 01:20. Going into this Week 14 matchup, the Miami Dolphins are in second place in the AFC East. A tally of eight wins is two more than what their opponents have managed all season, with the Los Angeles Chargers seeing victory six times to go second in the AFC West. The Miami Dolphins enter the second half of the regular season with a playoff spot in their sights and a chance to prove themselves on the road against the Los Angeles Chargers, who won’t be going anywhere as things stand.
Los Angeles Chargers Form
The Los Angeles Chargers are 6-6 for the season and their latest match against the Las Vegas Raiders ended in a 27-20 defeat, leaving them 5-5 across their past 10 games and 2-3 in the last five at home.
In terms of points added, it’s fair to say the Los Angeles Chargers have a strong and consistent offense. The unit has put 21.6 points on board in the last five matches after all, while averaging 22.7 points for this season. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The hosts have given up 24.0 points in the previous five outings, which is less than the 25.8 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
Despite being once billed as an AFC Championship contender earlier in the year, the Los Angeles Chargers have had to re-prioritize their goals, with reclaiming a postseason berth being their foremost priority as things stand.
Miami Dolphins Form
The Miami Dolphins head to the SoFi Stadium on the back of a 33-17 defeat to the San Francisco 49ers last week, leaving them 6-4 in their past ten games and 2-3 in the last seven on the road.
The offense is on an excellent run of form, having put 30.4 points on board in the last five matches, which is more than the 24.9 points that the Miami Dolphins have managed for the season. A below-average defense isn’t what any traveling team wants to hear, but that’s how it is for the Miami Dolphins. The visitors have allowed an average of 24.1 points per game this year.
The Miami Dolphins began the regular season backed to go far in the playoff, and having gone 8-4 from 12 games so far, they’re on course to reach this target. The aim now for the away team is to at least maintain or improve on their sixth seed in the AFC Conference.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins H2H
The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 29-21 win for the Miami Dolphins at the Hard Rock Stadium in November 2020. The total has gone under 51.5 points in ten of the last 11 meetings between the Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins.
In their last 11 head-to-head games, the Los Angeles Chargers managed 19.82 points on average per game, while the Miami Dolphins put 20.82 points on board.
Standings
The Los Angeles Chargers sit three spots behind the Miami Dolphins in the AFC Conference. A 6-6 record this season has left the hosts in second place in the AFC West. They hold the position number nine in the conference rankings, while the Miami Dolphins are number six. The visitors rank second in the AFC East after going 8-4.
Betting
Moneyline
Take the Miami Dolphins (-157) to win straight up on the moneyline. The visitors boast a 12-4 SU record against the Los Angeles Chargers from the last 16 matchups of this series. They are also 11-3 SU in their last 14 games against AFC teams.
Against the Spread
The Miami Dolphins (-121) open as the 2.0-point road favorites over the Los Angeles Chargers. Given how closely the oddsmakers have placed the spread, we could be in for a real even-stevens encounter here. The spread has been a bit too high in the last five matches between the Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins, going 1.8 points short to be exact. The average winning margin was 10.6 points.
The Los Angeles Chargers tend to play well at home against the Miami Dolphins. Over the past five games between the two teams at the SoFi Stadium, the home side has won three games by an average margin of 12.0 points. The hosts are also 2-5 ATS in the past seven games at home and 4-6 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
On the other side of the field, the Miami Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games on the road. The visitors are also 3-4 ATS from their seven most recent road trips, as well as 4-6 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Over/Under
The average total from the previous 11 matchups between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Miami Dolphins was 40.64 points.
The average total in the last five encounters between the Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins was 45 points. As the total for their latest showdown is set at 51.5, taking the Under (-109) might just be worth its weight in gold.
The total has averaged 48.7 points in the Los Angeles Chargers’ ten most recent games, as well as 48.6 points in their last five at home. Betting on the over would’ve paid out as a winning bet in each of the last three games at the SoFi Stadium for the Los Angeles Chargers, who are 6-4 in their last ten home and away matches combined.
Meanwhile, the Miami Dolphins have seen an average of 54.8 points in their past five road games and 48.1 points in their last five contests in all. Impressively, the total has gone over in no less than four of their last five games on the road. All in all, the visitors are 5-5 against the total across their past 10 games.
